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steel stocks surge as trump victory raises protectionism hopes
A surge in American steel stocks followed former President Donald Trump's victory, with shares of the four largest US steelmakers rising over 10%. Investors anticipate that Trump's win will lead to increased protectionism and a shift in global trade rules, as he pledged to impose more duties on imports that threaten domestic jobs and industrial capacity.
voters express views on abortion immigration and criminal justice in elections
In the recent elections, Arizona voters favored stricter immigration enforcement, while several states, including Republican-leaning ones, enshrined abortion rights in their constitutions. California saw a backlash against progressive criminal justice reforms, leading to the ousting of District Attorney George Gascón. Additionally, Florida's attempt to legalize recreational marijuana fell short, and most states opted to maintain their existing electoral processes.
Trump's Republicans poised to regain control of Congress and advance agenda
Donald Trump's Republicans are poised to potentially gain control of both chambers of Congress, marking their first opportunity in eight years to implement a comprehensive agenda. This could include significant tax and spending cuts, energy deregulation, and enhanced border security measures.
higher social security contributions approved to support pensions and health insurance
Starting January 1, 2025, social security contributions will rise significantly, with the contribution assessment ceiling for pensions increasing to €8,050 per month and health insurance to €6,150. This change, driven by a projected wage growth of 6.4%, aims to address inequalities in contributions, particularly from high earners, and is expected to generate an additional €2 billion for the pension fund.
tech giants prepare for policy shifts under trump administration
Silicon Valley anticipates a significant shift in its relationship with the US government as Donald Trump returns to the White House, promising to reverse many policies of his predecessor. He aims to dismantle Biden's executive order on AI safety, adopt a more lenient approach to antitrust merger oversight, and has expressed skepticism about a bipartisan initiative to enhance domestic semiconductor production.
ireland to hold general election on november 29 as support shifts
Ireland is set to hold a general election on November 29, as Prime Minister Simon Harris aims to leverage a favorable budget and declining support for opposition party Sinn Fein. With Fine Gael polling at 24.5% and Sinn Fein at 18.5%, Harris seeks a mandate to continue his coalition's governance amid challenges like housing costs and migration concerns.
global equities poised for growth as tariff risks diminish
UBS Asset Management maintains an overweight stance on global equities, particularly in the US and emerging markets, citing strong earnings potential despite high valuations. The firm is bullish on the JPY due to anticipated Bank of Japan tightening, while underweighting the CHF and European equities due to economic challenges. Emerging currencies show a mixed outlook, favoring BRL and ZAR for their carry potential, while cautioning against tariff risks impacting AXJ.
Trump's election win may shift focus to NATO defense spending
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's return to office may shift focus back to NATO members' defense spending, as he has previously criticized European allies for inadequate contributions. Currently, two-thirds of NATO allies meet the 2% GDP defense spending commitment, with Poland leading at 4.12% in 2024.
Trump's election raises global economic risks warns ECB's Villeroy
The election of Donald Trump as the next US president introduces risks and uncertainty for the global economy, according to Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau. His policies are expected to increase deficits and elevate long-term borrowing costs, prompting Europe to confront its economic vulnerabilities.
German coalition in crisis talks to prevent government collapse amid economic challenges
The governing coalition in Germany is in crisis talks to prevent a collapse, as tensions rise among the Social Democrats, Greens, and Free Democrats over economic strategies. With the country facing economic contraction and the return of Donald Trump raising concerns, leaders are under pressure to reach a consensus on budgetary issues and climate targets. Failure to agree could lead to a minority government or early elections, which polls suggest would be detrimental for all coalition parties.